Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.923529e-05 3.482416e-05 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074
2025-03-23 2.137422e-05 2.851825e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090
2025-03-30 1.590029e-05 2.361822e-05 0.000033 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000104
2025-04-06 1.172918e-05 1.941050e-05 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000085 0.000115
2025-04-13 8.244084e-06 1.535621e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000061 0.000087 0.000122
2025-04-20 6.155520e-06 1.285225e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000061 0.000091 0.000131
2025-04-27 4.831680e-06 1.124623e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000096 0.000143
2025-05-04 3.981905e-06 1.025069e-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000104 0.000157
2025-05-11 3.659964e-06 1.015968e-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000073 0.000115 0.000177
2025-05-18 3.121679e-06 9.512141e-06 0.000022 0.000043 0.000076 0.000124 0.000193
2025-05-25 2.185087e-06 7.747325e-06 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000124 0.000197
2025-06-01 1.578232e-06 6.517770e-06 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000125 0.000204
2025-06-08 1.042072e-06 5.345634e-06 0.000016 0.000037 0.000074 0.000130 0.000217
2025-06-15 6.845279e-07 4.459946e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000076 0.000137 0.000232
2025-06-22 4.139395e-07 3.620625e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000077 0.000142 0.000246
2025-06-29 2.183721e-07 2.813870e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000145 0.000257
2025-07-06 8.545958e-08 1.996594e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000145 0.000263
2025-07-13 3.380382e-08 1.528528e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000148 0.000274
2025-07-20 1.332306e-08 1.246631e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000075 0.000155 0.000290
2025-07-27 5.386025e-09 1.082383e-06 0.000008 0.000030 0.000078 0.000164 0.000310
2025-08-03 3.649019e-09 1.088612e-06 0.000008 0.000032 0.000085 0.000179 0.000340
2025-08-10 1.247487e-09 9.788206e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000089 0.000190 0.000364
2025-08-17 5.168439e-12 6.684913e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000086 0.000189 0.000369